Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his established pattern of engaging daily with cultural flashpoints and platform updates. Recent posts from May 16 and 17 highlight ongoing commentary on casting double standards, simulation theory, and X’s billion-download milestone, sustaining the momentum that typically generates 15-25 posts per day during active periods. With only one day remaining, any surge tied to breaking entertainment or tech news could push totals higher, yet historical weekend pacing and the absence of major new controversies keep the bulk of market-implied odds concentrated in the mid-range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 83%
65-89 17%
90-114 1.3%
<40 <1%
$896,162 Vol.
$896,162 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
83%
65-89
17%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 83%
65-89 17%
90-114 1.3%
<40 <1%
$896,162 Vol.
$896,162 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$345,114 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$80,446 Vol.
83%
65-89
$84,632 Vol.
17%
90-114
$109,139 Vol.
1%
115-139
$91,628 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his established pattern of engaging daily with cultural flashpoints and platform updates. Recent posts from May 16 and 17 highlight ongoing commentary on casting double standards, simulation theory, and X’s billion-download milestone, sustaining the momentum that typically generates 15-25 posts per day during active periods. With only one day remaining, any surge tied to breaking entertainment or tech news could push totals higher, yet historical weekend pacing and the absence of major new controversies keep the bulk of market-implied odds concentrated in the mid-range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$896,162End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his established pattern of engaging daily with cultural flashpoints and platform updates. Recent posts from May 16 and 17 highlight ongoing commentary on casting double standards, simulation theory, and X’s billion-download milestone, sustaining the momentum that typically generates 15-25 posts per day during active periods. With only one day remaining, any surge tied to breaking entertainment or tech news could push totals higher, yet historical weekend pacing and the absence of major new controversies keep the bulk of market-implied odds concentrated in the mid-range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$896,162End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader expectations around the 40-64 tweet range for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his established pattern of engaging daily with cultural flashpoints and platform updates. Recent posts from May 16 and 17 highlight ongoing commentary on casting double standards, simulation theory, and X’s billion-download milestone, sustaining the momentum that typically generates 15-25 posts per day during active periods. With only one day remaining, any surge tied to breaking entertainment or tech news could push totals higher, yet historical weekend pacing and the absence of major new controversies keep the bulk of market-implied odds concentrated in the mid-range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions