Recent weekly tracking on X shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 12–17 posts per day in early May 2026, consistent with his measured pace throughout the year. This steady rhythm, punctuated by occasional spikes around company milestones or public statements, has anchored trader consensus around the 840–959 range as the most probable full-month total. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered because historical patterns offer no dominant outlier scenario, while the remaining two weeks could shift outcomes depending on any high-profile SpaceX or Tesla developments. Traders weigh these consistent baseline volumes against the inherent variability of real-time engagement on the platform.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated880-919 13.1%
840-879 11.4%
800-839 11.2%
920-959 11.1%
$3,142,499 Vol.
$3,142,499 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
2%
680-699
2%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
6%
760-779
6%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
13%
920-959
11%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
880-919 13.1%
840-879 11.4%
800-839 11.2%
920-959 11.1%
$3,142,499 Vol.
$3,142,499 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
340-359
$69,472 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$55,291 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$58,220 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$56,871 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$43,409 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$54,432 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$63,303 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$58,382 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$64,925 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$53,161 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$45,810 Vol.
1%
560-579
$43,592 Vol.
1%
580-599
$49,353 Vol.
1%
600-619
$43,134 Vol.
1%
620-639
$39,650 Vol.
1%
640-659
$44,115 Vol.
1%
660-679
$38,150 Vol.
2%
680-699
$33,833 Vol.
2%
700-719
$45,977 Vol.
4%
720-739
$47,300 Vol.
3%
740-759
$39,168 Vol.
6%
760-779
$39,907 Vol.
6%
780-799
$43,195 Vol.
7%
800-839
$46,064 Vol.
11%
840-879
$35,676 Vol.
11%
880-919
$38,814 Vol.
13%
920-959
$37,453 Vol.
11%
960-999
$35,317 Vol.
9%
1000-1039
$36,121 Vol.
5%
1040-1079
$33,345 Vol.
4%
1080-1119
$39,969 Vol.
1%
1120-1159
$50,723 Vol.
1%
1160-1199
$56,655 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$55,495 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$67,489 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$59,982 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$59,746 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$44,609 Vol.
<1%
1400-1439
$74,110 Vol.
<1%
1440-1479
$44,365 Vol.
<1%
1480-1519
$25,045 Vol.
<1%
1520-1559
$27,191 Vol.
<1%
1560-1599
$32,981 Vol.
<1%
1600-1679
$39,619 Vol.
<1%
1680-1759
$40,902 Vol.
<1%
1760-1839
$34,463 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$27,564 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$62,382 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$292,699 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tracking on X shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 12–17 posts per day in early May 2026, consistent with his measured pace throughout the year. This steady rhythm, punctuated by occasional spikes around company milestones or public statements, has anchored trader consensus around the 840–959 range as the most probable full-month total. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered because historical patterns offer no dominant outlier scenario, while the remaining two weeks could shift outcomes depending on any high-profile SpaceX or Tesla developments. Traders weigh these consistent baseline volumes against the inherent variability of real-time engagement on the platform.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,142,499End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tracking on X shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 12–17 posts per day in early May 2026, consistent with his measured pace throughout the year. This steady rhythm, punctuated by occasional spikes around company milestones or public statements, has anchored trader consensus around the 840–959 range as the most probable full-month total. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered because historical patterns offer no dominant outlier scenario, while the remaining two weeks could shift outcomes depending on any high-profile SpaceX or Tesla developments. Traders weigh these consistent baseline volumes against the inherent variability of real-time engagement on the platform.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,142,499End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly tracking on X shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 12–17 posts per day in early May 2026, consistent with his measured pace throughout the year. This steady rhythm, punctuated by occasional spikes around company milestones or public statements, has anchored trader consensus around the 840–959 range as the most probable full-month total. Market-implied odds remain tightly clustered because historical patterns offer no dominant outlier scenario, while the remaining two weeks could shift outcomes depending on any high-profile SpaceX or Tesla developments. Traders weigh these consistent baseline volumes against the inherent variability of real-time engagement on the platform.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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