Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's volatile X posting pace in May 2026, averaging 15-17 daily through May 12 after a post-DOGE slowdown from 20+ peaks, with swings like 27-post spikes on May 6-7 amid cultural debates and lulls at 7-9 posts. Closely matched frontrunners—560-579 (7.4%), 600-619 (7.0%), and 640-659 (7.0%)—capture this uncertainty, differentiated by today's surge of 10+ viral posts mocking Hollywood hypocrisy and DEI casting in Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey, drawing tens of millions of views. With 18 days left, key factors include potential spikes from Starship tests, X updates, or political flare-ups fueling his signature engagement bursts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated560-579 7.3%
540-559 7.2%
600-619 7.2%
640-659 6.9%
$2,159,309 Vol.
$2,159,309 Vol.
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
4%
500-519
6%
520-539
6%
540-559
7%
560-579
7%
580-599
7%
600-619
7%
620-639
6%
640-659
7%
660-679
7%
680-699
5%
700-719
3%
720-739
3%
740-759
3%
760-779
2%
780-799
2%
800-839
3%
840-879
2%
880-919
2%
920-959
1%
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
<1%
1080-1119
<1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
560-579 7.3%
540-559 7.2%
600-619 7.2%
640-659 6.9%
$2,159,309 Vol.
$2,159,309 Vol.
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
4%
500-519
6%
520-539
6%
540-559
7%
560-579
7%
580-599
7%
600-619
7%
620-639
6%
640-659
7%
660-679
7%
680-699
5%
700-719
3%
720-739
3%
740-759
3%
760-779
2%
780-799
2%
800-839
3%
840-879
2%
880-919
2%
920-959
1%
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
<1%
1080-1119
<1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's volatile X posting pace in May 2026, averaging 15-17 daily through May 12 after a post-DOGE slowdown from 20+ peaks, with swings like 27-post spikes on May 6-7 amid cultural debates and lulls at 7-9 posts. Closely matched frontrunners—560-579 (7.4%), 600-619 (7.0%), and 640-659 (7.0%)—capture this uncertainty, differentiated by today's surge of 10+ viral posts mocking Hollywood hypocrisy and DEI casting in Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey, drawing tens of millions of views. With 18 days left, key factors include potential spikes from Starship tests, X updates, or political flare-ups fueling his signature engagement bursts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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