Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X this month, fueled by real-time commentary on AI advancements, political developments, and SpaceX milestones, has anchored trader expectations around the 840–919 tweet range. With roughly half of May elapsed, his daily average has held steady near 28–30 posts, reflecting the same high-engagement pattern seen in prior peak periods when major news cycles intensified. Market participants are now weighing how sustained momentum or any sudden drop-off in the final two weeks could shift the final tally, particularly as upcoming earnings reports and regulatory hearings offer fresh catalysts for replies and original threads. Historical monthly totals in similar news-heavy periods support the tight clustering currently priced by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated840-879 11.1%
880-919 10.9%
800-839 10.8%
920-959 10.4%
$3,238,113 Vol.
$3,238,113 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
2%
700-719
3%
720-739
5%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
11%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.1%
880-919 10.9%
800-839 10.8%
920-959 10.4%
$3,238,113 Vol.
$3,238,113 Vol.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
3%
680-699
2%
700-719
3%
720-739
5%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
11%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X this month, fueled by real-time commentary on AI advancements, political developments, and SpaceX milestones, has anchored trader expectations around the 840–919 tweet range. With roughly half of May elapsed, his daily average has held steady near 28–30 posts, reflecting the same high-engagement pattern seen in prior peak periods when major news cycles intensified. Market participants are now weighing how sustained momentum or any sudden drop-off in the final two weeks could shift the final tally, particularly as upcoming earnings reports and regulatory hearings offer fresh catalysts for replies and original threads. Historical monthly totals in similar news-heavy periods support the tight clustering currently priced by traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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