Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell have been active since April 2026, including probes by the Manhattan district attorney and Los Angeles authorities, yet no formal charges or indictments have resulted. The most recent development—an FBI search of his Washington home and seizure of electronic devices at a San Francisco airport in mid-August—represents an escalation in evidence gathering rather than an imminent charging decision. Such federal and state criminal processes typically involve extended review of materials, witness interviews, and prosecutorial deliberation, making resolution within the narrow window to September 30 improbable. This timeline and procedural pace underpin the market's 82% implied probability that no charges will occur by the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFor the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell have been active since April 2026, including probes by the Manhattan district attorney and Los Angeles authorities, yet no formal charges or indictments have resulted. The most recent development—an FBI search of his Washington home and seizure of electronic devices at a San Francisco airport in mid-August—represents an escalation in evidence gathering rather than an imminent charging decision. Such federal and state criminal processes typically involve extended review of materials, witness interviews, and prosecutorial deliberation, making resolution within the narrow window to September 30 improbable. This timeline and procedural pace underpin the market's 82% implied probability that no charges will occur by the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions