**High trader consensus on "No" at 97.4% reflects the substantial procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice by impeachment before 2027.** Over 100 impeachment petitions, concentrated on Justice Alexandre de Moraes amid the ongoing Banco Master scandal and internal court disputes with Justice André Mendonça, remain stalled under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre. A 2025 STF liminar raised the threshold for opening proceedings to a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81 seats), a bar that has never been cleared for any justice. The October 4, 2026 elections will reshape the Senate, but any resulting shift in composition or leadership takes effect in 2027, leaving insufficient time for the multiple required votes and reviews in the current window. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a rapid post-election realignment enabling expedited Senate action or an unexpected internal STF development forcing legislative response, though both face steep institutional hurdles.