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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$530,364 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$530,364 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$107,697 Vol.

89%

icon for Greece

Greece

$66,691 Vol.

69%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$66,869 Vol.

67%

icon for Israel

Israel

$63,452 Vol.

66%

icon for Australia

Australia

$7,874 Vol.

55%

icon for France

France

$19,549 Vol.

45%

icon for Romania

Romania

$15,167 Vol.

37%

icon for Italy

Italy

$11,389 Vol.

29%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$12,903 Vol.

24%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$9,468 Vol.

20%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$6,842 Vol.

14%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$19,788 Vol.

10%

icon for Albania

Albania

$2,439 Vol.

9%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$1,995 Vol.

8%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$1,761 Vol.

8%

icon for Malta

Malta

$5,599 Vol.

7%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$16,949 Vol.

5%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$16,035 Vol.

4%

icon for Norway

Norway

$3,548 Vol.

3%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$1,751 Vol.

3%

icon for Poland

Poland

$2,637 Vol.

2%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$1,228 Vol.

2%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$3,993 Vol.

2%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$2,185 Vol.

2%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$1,824 Vol.

2%

icon for Austria

Austria

$680 Vol.

2%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$1,973 Vol.

1%

icon for Germany

Germany

$20,291 Vol.

1%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$8,575 Vol.

1%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$21,695 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands an overwhelming 89% implied probability on Polymarket for a Top 5 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, fueled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating rehearsals, OGAE fan polls, and a commanding Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12. Greece (69%) and Israel (66%) follow closely after advancing alongside frontrunners, bolstered by Akylas's "Ferto" buzz and Israel's perennial televote strength amid geopolitical tensions. Denmark (67%) eyes jury appeal pending Semi-Final 2 on May 14, while Australia's dark-horse ballad lurks at 47%. With the Grand Final on May 16, trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Nordic pop momentum and live performance volatility, though upsets remain possible via streaming surges or staging surprises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$530,364
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland commands an overwhelming 89% implied probability on Polymarket for a Top 5 finish at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, fueled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating rehearsals, OGAE fan polls, and a commanding Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12. Greece (69%) and Israel (66%) follow closely after advancing alongside frontrunners, bolstered by Akylas's "Ferto" buzz and Israel's perennial televote strength amid geopolitical tensions. Denmark (67%) eyes jury appeal pending Semi-Final 2 on May 14, while Australia's dark-horse ballad lurks at 47%. With the Grand Final on May 16, trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Nordic pop momentum and live performance volatility, though upsets remain possible via streaming surges or staging surprises.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$530,364
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 89%, followed by "Greece" at 69%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $530.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 69%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.