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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$1,549,066 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$1,549,066 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Albania

Albania

$33,161 Vol.

No

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$124,289 Vol.

Yes

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$48,586 Vol.

No

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$129,569 Vol.

No

icon for Poland

Poland

$17,557 Vol.

No

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$2,030 Vol.

No

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$592 Vol.

No

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$33,731 Vol.

No

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$5,114 Vol.

No

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$8,970 Vol.

No

icon for Australia

Australia

$90,504 Vol.

Yes

icon for Austria

Austria

$4,529 Vol.

No

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$23,476 Vol.

No

icon for Germany

Germany

$27,345 Vol.

No

icon for Greece

Greece

$136,245 Vol.

No

icon for Israel

Israel

$178,918 Vol.

Yes

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$2,376 Vol.

No

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$2,776 Vol.

No

icon for Norway

Norway

$10,634 Vol.

No

icon for Romania

Romania

$102,869 Vol.

Yes

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$4,950 Vol.

No

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$29,750 Vol.

No

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$5,989 Vol.

No

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$3,242 Vol.

No

icon for France

France

$49,281 Vol.

No

icon for Italy

Italy

$74,215 Vol.

Yes

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$785 Vol.

No

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$30,480 Vol.

No

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$52,361 Vol.

No

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$14,634 Vol.

No

icon for Finland

Finland

$229,325 Vol.

No

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$1,206 Vol.

No

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$6,133 Vol.

No

icon for Malta

Malta

$18,264 Vol.

No

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$45,181 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's surprise victory in the May 16 Vienna grand final reshaped trader expectations for Eurovision 2026's top 5, as the country's entry surged past pre-final frontrunners through strong televote momentum and distinctive staging. Israel, Romania, Australia, and Italy secured the remaining spots amid intense jury-televote splits, with Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering a polished pop performance and Israel's ballad maintaining public appeal despite controversies. Semi-final qualifiers from May 12 and 14, combined with rehearsal buzz around high-energy entries like Finland's violin-driven track, had earlier elevated certain contenders on Polymarket. Upcoming chart data and official EBU point breakdowns will now clarify how late running-order advantages and audience engagement influenced the final standings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,549,066
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's surprise victory in the May 16 Vienna grand final reshaped trader expectations for Eurovision 2026's top 5, as the country's entry surged past pre-final frontrunners through strong televote momentum and distinctive staging. Israel, Romania, Australia, and Italy secured the remaining spots amid intense jury-televote splits, with Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering a polished pop performance and Israel's ballad maintaining public appeal despite controversies. Semi-final qualifiers from May 12 and 14, combined with rehearsal buzz around high-energy entries like Finland's violin-driven track, had earlier elevated certain contenders on Polymarket. Upcoming chart data and official EBU point breakdowns will now clarify how late running-order advantages and audience engagement influenced the final standings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,549,066
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bulgaria" at 100%, followed by "Australia" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Bulgaria" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Australia" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.