Trader sentiment on H200 rental prices for end-September reflects a tight balance between expanding Blackwell B200 supply and persistent demand for high-memory Hopper GPUs. Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.99–$4.59 per hour across specialist providers such as Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Nebius, with hyperscalers remaining higher. The near-even split between the $4.00–$4.50 and $4.50–$5.00 brackets highlights uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell capacity displaces H200 instances versus sustained enterprise needs for 141 GB HBM3e memory in long-context inference and large-model serving. Spot-reserved differentials and any late-summer demand surges from AI training cycles remain key swing factors that could shift the market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 25%
$4.00-$4.50 23%
$5.50-$6.00 20%
$5.00-$5.50 16%
$19,928 Vol.
$19,928 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
13%
$4.00-$4.50
23%
$4.50-$5.00
25%
$5.00-$5.50
16%
$5.50-$6.00
20%
$6.00+
7%
$4.50-$5.00 25%
$4.00-$4.50 23%
$5.50-$6.00 20%
$5.00-$5.50 16%
$19,928 Vol.
$19,928 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
$9,396 Vol.
13%
$4.00-$4.50
$1,882 Vol.
23%
$4.50-$5.00
$3,598 Vol.
25%
$5.00-$5.50
$1,516 Vol.
16%
$5.50-$6.00
$1,752 Vol.
20%
$6.00+
$1,784 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader sentiment on H200 rental prices for end-September reflects a tight balance between expanding Blackwell B200 supply and persistent demand for high-memory Hopper GPUs. Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.99–$4.59 per hour across specialist providers such as Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Nebius, with hyperscalers remaining higher. The near-even split between the $4.00–$4.50 and $4.50–$5.00 brackets highlights uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell capacity displaces H200 instances versus sustained enterprise needs for 141 GB HBM3e memory in long-context inference and large-model serving. Spot-reserved differentials and any late-summer demand surges from AI training cycles remain key swing factors that could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Volume
$19,928End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader sentiment on H200 rental prices for end-September reflects a tight balance between expanding Blackwell B200 supply and persistent demand for high-memory Hopper GPUs. Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.99–$4.59 per hour across specialist providers such as Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Nebius, with hyperscalers remaining higher. The near-even split between the $4.00–$4.50 and $4.50–$5.00 brackets highlights uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell capacity displaces H200 instances versus sustained enterprise needs for 141 GB HBM3e memory in long-context inference and large-model serving. Spot-reserved differentials and any late-summer demand surges from AI training cycles remain key swing factors that could shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$19,928End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on H200 rental prices for end-September reflects a tight balance between expanding Blackwell B200 supply and persistent demand for high-memory Hopper GPUs. Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.99–$4.59 per hour across specialist providers such as Jarvislabs, Vast.ai, and Nebius, with hyperscalers remaining higher. The near-even split between the $4.00–$4.50 and $4.50–$5.00 brackets highlights uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell capacity displaces H200 instances versus sustained enterprise needs for 141 GB HBM3e memory in long-context inference and large-model serving. Spot-reserved differentials and any late-summer demand surges from AI training cycles remain key swing factors that could shift the market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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