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icon for Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

icon for Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo 37%

Lux - Rosalía 27%

The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean 17.1%

Confessions II - Madonna 5.5%

Polymarket

$59,488 Vol.

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo 37%

Lux - Rosalía 27%

The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean 17.1%

Confessions II - Madonna 5.5%

Polymarket

$59,488 Vol.

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo

$17,932 Vol.

37%

Lux - Rosalía

$3,349 Vol.

27%

The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean

$26,541 Vol.

17%

Confessions II - Madonna

$959 Vol.

5%

West End Girl - Lily Allen

$654 Vol.

4%

Dandelion - Ella Langley

$871 Vol.

4%

Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers

$2,612 Vol.

4%

The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift

$877 Vol.

3%

The Romantic - Bruno Mars

$921 Vol.

3%

Arirang - BTS

$1,058 Vol.

2%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$809 Vol.

1%

petal - Ariana Grande

$773 Vol.

1%

Octane - Don Toliver

$630 Vol.

<1%

Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles

$745 Vol.

<1%

Iceman - Drake

$757 Vol.

<1%

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love” leads trader sentiment at 36.5% implied probability thanks to its record-breaking Billboard 200 debut, sustained chart dominance, and strong critical consensus as one of 2026’s standout pop releases. The wide-open field—reflected in numerous 50% TBD options and fragmented odds for Rosalía’s Lux (26.5%), Olivia Dean’s The Art of Loving (16.8%), and Bruno Mars’ The Romantic—highlights how early the race remains before November nominations. Historical patterns favor artists with consecutive Album of the Year nods and broad industry support, yet late-2026 releases, streaming surges, and guild or critics’ circle momentum could quickly shift the consensus ahead of the February 2027 ceremony.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$59,488
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love” leads trader sentiment at 36.5% implied probability thanks to its record-breaking Billboard 200 debut, sustained chart dominance, and strong critical consensus as one of 2026’s standout pop releases. The wide-open field—reflected in numerous 50% TBD options and fragmented odds for Rosalía’s Lux (26.5%), Olivia Dean’s The Art of Loving (16.8%), and Bruno Mars’ The Romantic—highlights how early the race remains before November nominations. Historical patterns favor artists with consecutive Album of the Year nods and broad industry support, yet late-2026 releases, streaming surges, and guild or critics’ circle momentum could quickly shift the consensus ahead of the February 2027 ceremony.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$59,488
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo" at 37%, followed by "Lux - Rosalía" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner" has generated $59.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner" is "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lux - Rosalía" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.