Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a peak temperature near 30–31°C in Guangzhou on October 8 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on those outcomes. Recent days have featured highs of 28–29°C amid clearer, cooler conditions, and the modest rebound aligns with seasonal norms around the 30.1°C climatological average for the date. Stable high pressure and low precipitation risk support limited diurnal variability, though minor model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that keeps 32°C as a plausible secondary outcome. Official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.