Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on July 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 7?
90-91°F 34%
92-93°F 20%
94-95°F 16%
88-89°F 12.0%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
7%
98°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 34%
92-93°F 20%
94-95°F 16%
88-89°F 12.0%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
79°F or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$61 Vol.
12%
90-91°F
$81 Vol.
34%
92-93°F
$29 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$117 Vol.
16%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98°F or higher
$22 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$339End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$339End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and NOAA indicate persistent high pressure and a heat dome favoring daytime highs near or slightly above the 94°F July 7 climatological normal for Houston, with limited cloud cover or sea-breeze effects likely keeping peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent runs show tight clustering around 91–95°F, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection introduce spread that traders price across multiple bins. Historical analogs from similar synoptic patterns confirm low odds of extremes below 88°F or above 98°F this time of year, aligning with the market’s dispersed probabilities and emphasis on near-term model updates for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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