Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates a typical midsummer marine air influence moderating Seattle temperatures for July 7, keeping the daily high most likely in the mid-to-upper 70s. Persistent high pressure and reduced cloud cover following early-July variability have supported this range, aligning with climatological norms where July highs average near 78°F and rarely exceed 85°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 74–79°F outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and onshore flow timing, with new model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on July 7?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 7?
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 23%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$17 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$15 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$4 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$64 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates a typical midsummer marine air influence moderating Seattle temperatures for July 7, keeping the daily high most likely in the mid-to-upper 70s. Persistent high pressure and reduced cloud cover following early-July variability have supported this range, aligning with climatological norms where July highs average near 78°F and rarely exceed 85°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 74–79°F outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and onshore flow timing, with new model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$266End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates a typical midsummer marine air influence moderating Seattle temperatures for July 7, keeping the daily high most likely in the mid-to-upper 70s. Persistent high pressure and reduced cloud cover following early-July variability have supported this range, aligning with climatological norms where July highs average near 78°F and rarely exceed 85°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 74–79°F outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and onshore flow timing, with new model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$266End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicates a typical midsummer marine air influence moderating Seattle temperatures for July 7, keeping the daily high most likely in the mid-to-upper 70s. Persistent high pressure and reduced cloud cover following early-July variability have supported this range, aligning with climatological norms where July highs average near 78°F and rarely exceed 85°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 74–79°F outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and onshore flow timing, with new model runs and afternoon observations expected to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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