Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures sustain Miami’s typical July nocturnal regime, with National Weather Service guidance centering overnight lows near 79–81 °F. High boundary-layer moisture and light southeast flow restrict radiative cooling, while scattered afternoon convection can increase cloud cover and further elevate minimum temperatures. Model consensus shows only modest spread in the 78–82 °F envelope for July 7, keeping the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bands nearly tied; slight differences in forecast dew-point depression or timing of any sea-breeze front account for the narrow edge separating adjacent 2 °F bins. Updated evening soundings and short-range ensembles will refine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on July 7?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 7?
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 43%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
67°F or below
$57 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$77 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$48 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$7 Vol.
43%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$43 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures sustain Miami’s typical July nocturnal regime, with National Weather Service guidance centering overnight lows near 79–81 °F. High boundary-layer moisture and light southeast flow restrict radiative cooling, while scattered afternoon convection can increase cloud cover and further elevate minimum temperatures. Model consensus shows only modest spread in the 78–82 °F envelope for July 7, keeping the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bands nearly tied; slight differences in forecast dew-point depression or timing of any sea-breeze front account for the narrow edge separating adjacent 2 °F bins. Updated evening soundings and short-range ensembles will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$350End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures sustain Miami’s typical July nocturnal regime, with National Weather Service guidance centering overnight lows near 79–81 °F. High boundary-layer moisture and light southeast flow restrict radiative cooling, while scattered afternoon convection can increase cloud cover and further elevate minimum temperatures. Model consensus shows only modest spread in the 78–82 °F envelope for July 7, keeping the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bands nearly tied; slight differences in forecast dew-point depression or timing of any sea-breeze front account for the narrow edge separating adjacent 2 °F bins. Updated evening soundings and short-range ensembles will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$350End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures sustain Miami’s typical July nocturnal regime, with National Weather Service guidance centering overnight lows near 79–81 °F. High boundary-layer moisture and light southeast flow restrict radiative cooling, while scattered afternoon convection can increase cloud cover and further elevate minimum temperatures. Model consensus shows only modest spread in the 78–82 °F envelope for July 7, keeping the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bands nearly tied; slight differences in forecast dew-point depression or timing of any sea-breeze front account for the narrow edge separating adjacent 2 °F bins. Updated evening soundings and short-range ensembles will refine the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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