Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 7?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 7?
22°C 35%
21°C 32%
23°C 19.6%
20°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
32%
22°C
35%
23°C
20%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 35%
21°C 32%
23°C 19.6%
20°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 7, 2026
17°C or below
$24 Vol.
1%
18°C
$56 Vol.
2%
19°C
$172 Vol.
3%
20°C
$50 Vol.
8%
21°C
$93 Vol.
32%
22°C
$93 Vol.
35%
23°C
$88 Vol.
20%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$591End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$591End Date
Jul 7, 2026Market Opened
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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