Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on July 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 12?
34°C 39%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
30°C 8.3%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
7%
33°C
26%
34°C
39%
35°C
18%
36°C
4%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
3%
34°C 39%
33°C 26%
35°C 18%
30°C 8.3%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
28°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$23 Vol.
1%
30°C
$9 Vol.
8%
31°C
$13 Vol.
6%
32°C
$10 Vol.
7%
33°C
$94 Vol.
26%
34°C
$26 Vol.
39%
35°C
$22 Vol.
18%
36°C
$19 Vol.
4%
37°C
$7 Vol.
4%
38°C or higher
$21 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$276End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$276End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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