Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 12?
35°C 25%
34°C 21%
33°C 20%
36°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
11%
33°C
20%
34°C
21%
35°C
25%
36°C
17%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 25%
34°C 21%
33°C 20%
36°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
28°C or below
$244 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
2%
31°C
$49 Vol.
11%
32°C
$3 Vol.
11%
33°C
$158 Vol.
20%
34°C
$64 Vol.
21%
35°C
$3 Vol.
25%
36°C
$16 Vol.
17%
37°C
$29 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$85 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$927End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$927End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies place Shenzhen's July 12 maximum in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius under typical humid subtropical summer conditions, with high moisture content, strong solar insolation, and urban heat island effects supporting peaks near 33–35°C. Traders favor these outcomes because models show limited cloud cover or scattered afternoon convection that may cap but not sharply suppress temperatures, while recent regional heat alerts and observed highs around 34°C reinforce the baseline. Minor shifts in steering winds, timing of monsoon-related showers, or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate the closely bunched 33–35°C probabilities by 1–2°C, with new model runs and observational updates expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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