Recent forecasts from METMalaysia and international models indicate a maximum of 33–35°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 4, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C at 52.5% implied probability. Equatorial monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–80%, and expected afternoon thunderstorms or haze typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term September average of 32–33°C, while light winds and partial cloud cover limit further warming. Recent observations on September 2 showed highs around 32–34°C amid patchy rain, supporting trader consensus that 33–34°C outcomes are most probable absent major forecast shifts. Official updates from monitoring agencies ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as model runs incorporate evolving moisture patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 4?
34°C 53%
33°C 32%
35°C 10%
31°C 8%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
6%
33°C
32%
34°C
53%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
34°C 53%
33°C 32%
35°C 10%
31°C 8%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
6%
33°C
32%
34°C
53%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from METMalaysia and international models indicate a maximum of 33–35°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 4, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C at 52.5% implied probability. Equatorial monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–80%, and expected afternoon thunderstorms or haze typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term September average of 32–33°C, while light winds and partial cloud cover limit further warming. Recent observations on September 2 showed highs around 32–34°C amid patchy rain, supporting trader consensus that 33–34°C outcomes are most probable absent major forecast shifts. Official updates from monitoring agencies ahead of the date will refine these probabilities as model runs incorporate evolving moisture patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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