Recent monsoon activity and heavy rainfall forecasts from the India Meteorological Department are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of September 7, with widespread cloud cover and thundershowers expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal norms during the active monsoon phase when precipitation often suppresses peaks below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show daily maxima around 31–32°C but trending slightly below normal amid above-average seasonal rainfall. Trader consensus favoring 31°C or 30°C reflects these conditions, though exact resolution hinges on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection, which can vary across forecast models. Updated IMD briefings and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 7?
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 23%
32°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
29%
31°C
39%
32°C
10%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 39%
30°C 29%
29°C 23%
32°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$20 Vol.
7%
29°C
$1 Vol.
23%
30°C
$60 Vol.
29%
31°C
$60 Vol.
39%
32°C
$13 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$57 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and heavy rainfall forecasts from the India Meteorological Department are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of September 7, with widespread cloud cover and thundershowers expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal norms during the active monsoon phase when precipitation often suppresses peaks below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show daily maxima around 31–32°C but trending slightly below normal amid above-average seasonal rainfall. Trader consensus favoring 31°C or 30°C reflects these conditions, though exact resolution hinges on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection, which can vary across forecast models. Updated IMD briefings and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$473End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and heavy rainfall forecasts from the India Meteorological Department are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of September 7, with widespread cloud cover and thundershowers expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal norms during the active monsoon phase when precipitation often suppresses peaks below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show daily maxima around 31–32°C but trending slightly below normal amid above-average seasonal rainfall. Trader consensus favoring 31°C or 30°C reflects these conditions, though exact resolution hinges on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection, which can vary across forecast models. Updated IMD briefings and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$473End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and heavy rainfall forecasts from the India Meteorological Department are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow ahead of September 7, with widespread cloud cover and thundershowers expected to limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs near 29–31°C under mostly cloudy skies and high humidity, consistent with seasonal norms during the active monsoon phase when precipitation often suppresses peaks below clear-sky potential. Recent observations show daily maxima around 31–32°C but trending slightly below normal amid above-average seasonal rainfall. Trader consensus favoring 31°C or 30°C reflects these conditions, though exact resolution hinges on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection, which can vary across forecast models. Updated IMD briefings and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions