Current forecasts for Mexico City on July 9 align closely with the July seasonal average high of 23–24°C, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show scattered showers possible, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while humidity and urban heat island effects introduce variability. Trader consensus around 22–24°C reflects this tight range of outcomes, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of any storms, wind patterns, and local measurement at official stations. Historical data indicate rare excursions above 26°C or below 21°C under typical July conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 9?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,282 Vol.
$32,282 Vol.
Jul 9, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$32,282 Vol.
$32,282 Vol.
Jul 9, 2026
17°C or below
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,650 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,068 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,085 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,472 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,802 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,168 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,572 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on July 9 align closely with the July seasonal average high of 23–24°C, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show scattered showers possible, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while humidity and urban heat island effects introduce variability. Trader consensus around 22–24°C reflects this tight range of outcomes, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of any storms, wind patterns, and local measurement at official stations. Historical data indicate rare excursions above 26°C or below 21°C under typical July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$32,282End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on July 9 align closely with the July seasonal average high of 23–24°C, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show scattered showers possible, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while humidity and urban heat island effects introduce variability. Trader consensus around 22–24°C reflects this tight range of outcomes, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of any storms, wind patterns, and local measurement at official stations. Historical data indicate rare excursions above 26°C or below 21°C under typical July conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,282End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City on July 9 align closely with the July seasonal average high of 23–24°C, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation and the peak of the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Recent model runs show scattered showers possible, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while humidity and urban heat island effects introduce variability. Trader consensus around 22–24°C reflects this tight range of outcomes, with differentiation hinging on precise timing of any storms, wind patterns, and local measurement at official stations. Historical data indicate rare excursions above 26°C or below 21°C under typical July conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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