Current high-resolution forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service show Munich under a strong high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating through June 27, with ensemble guidance centering on afternoon maxima of 36–38 °C. The close market split between 36 °C and 37 °C reflects minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, potential thin high cloud timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer over the past 48 hours amid drier soil conditions that enhance sensible heat flux, though any late-day northerly flow shift could cap the peak just below the 37 °C threshold. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on June 27?
37°C 38%
36°C 37%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.8%
$39,462 Vol.
$39,462 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
19%
36°C
37%
37°C
38%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 38%
36°C 37%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.8%
$39,462 Vol.
$39,462 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
19%
36°C
37%
37°C
38%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-resolution forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service show Munich under a strong high-pressure ridge favoring clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating through June 27, with ensemble guidance centering on afternoon maxima of 36–38 °C. The close market split between 36 °C and 37 °C reflects minor differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, potential thin high cloud timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Recent runs have trended slightly warmer over the past 48 hours amid drier soil conditions that enhance sensible heat flux, though any late-day northerly flow shift could cap the peak just below the 37 °C threshold. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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