Recent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 26 °C as the most likely maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong insolation. Recent warming has pushed daytime highs several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor cloud variability keep the distribution tightly clustered around 25–26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on official station readings rather than outlier model solutions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
26°C 57%
25°C 39%
27°C 4.2%
29°C <1%
$59,519 Vol.
$59,519 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
39%
26°C
57%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 57%
25°C 39%
27°C 4.2%
29°C <1%
$59,519 Vol.
$59,519 Vol.
14 jun 2026
20°C or below
$3,004 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,550 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,477 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$34,479 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,815 Vol.
39%
26°C
$7,012 Vol.
57%
27°C
$9,323 Vol.
4%
28°C
$6,810 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,115 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$3,738 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 26 °C as the most likely maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong insolation. Recent warming has pushed daytime highs several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor cloud variability keep the distribution tightly clustered around 25–26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on official station readings rather than outlier model solutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$59,519Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 26 °C as the most likely maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong insolation. Recent warming has pushed daytime highs several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor cloud variability keep the distribution tightly clustered around 25–26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on official station readings rather than outlier model solutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59,519Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model runs position 26 °C as the most likely maximum for Paris on June 14 under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong insolation. Recent warming has pushed daytime highs several degrees above seasonal normals, yet small spreads in 850 hPa temperatures and minor cloud variability keep the distribution tightly clustered around 25–26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy concentration on those two outcomes, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on official station readings rather than outlier model solutions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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