Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Paris, pushing maximum temperatures toward 35–37°C on June 18 amid an early heatwave. Light winds of 5–15 km/h limit mixing and enhance urban heat-island effects, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks amplify surface warming. Model runs show tight clustering around 36°C but diverge on afternoon peak timing and exact boundary-layer depth, explaining the near-even market split between 35°C (32%) and 36°C (35%) with 37°C at 18.5%. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 36%
35°C 31%
37°C 14%
34°C 7%
신규
$10,971 거래량
신규
$10,971 거래량
2026.06.18
32°C or below
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
31%
36°C
36%
37°C
14%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 31%
37°C 14%
34°C 7%
신규
$10,971 거래량
신규
$10,971 거래량
2026.06.18
32°C or below
$1,107 거래량
1%
33°C
$622 거래량
2%
34°C
$803 거래량
7%
35°C
$1,242 거래량
31%
36°C
$1,181 거래량
36%
37°C
$2,262 거래량
14%
38°C
$1,855 거래량
5%
39°C
$506 거래량
1%
40°C
$593 거래량
<1%
41°C
$326 거래량
<1%
42°C or higher
$555 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Paris, pushing maximum temperatures toward 35–37°C on June 18 amid an early heatwave. Light winds of 5–15 km/h limit mixing and enhance urban heat-island effects, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks amplify surface warming. Model runs show tight clustering around 36°C but diverge on afternoon peak timing and exact boundary-layer depth, explaining the near-even market split between 35°C (32%) and 36°C (35%) with 37°C at 18.5%. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
거래량
$10,971종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Paris, pushing maximum temperatures toward 35–37°C on June 18 amid an early heatwave. Light winds of 5–15 km/h limit mixing and enhance urban heat-island effects, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks amplify surface warming. Model runs show tight clustering around 36°C but diverge on afternoon peak timing and exact boundary-layer depth, explaining the near-even market split between 35°C (32%) and 36°C (35%) with 37°C at 18.5%. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$10,971종료일
2026.06.18마켓 개설일
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models highlight a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and minimal cloud cover over Paris, pushing maximum temperatures toward 35–37°C on June 18 amid an early heatwave. Light winds of 5–15 km/h limit mixing and enhance urban heat-island effects, while soil moisture deficits from prior weeks amplify surface warming. Model runs show tight clustering around 36°C but diverge on afternoon peak timing and exact boundary-layer depth, explaining the near-even market split between 35°C (32%) and 36°C (35%) with 37°C at 18.5%. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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