Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 26?
37°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$252,668 Vol.
$252,668 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$252,668 Vol.
$252,668 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
34°C or below
$20,637 Vol.
No
35°C
$13,551 Vol.
No
36°C
$63,741 Vol.
No
37°C
$28,413 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$44,080 Vol.
No
39°C
$27,127 Vol.
No
40°C
$17,230 Vol.
No
41°C
$19,885 Vol.
No
42°C
$6,256 Vol.
No
43°C
$2,613 Vol.
No
44°C or higher
$9,134 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$252,668End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252,668End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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