Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and ensemble models indicate Qingdao's July 14 high will likely fall in the 27–30°C range, shaped by persistent southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, marine-layer moisture, and expected cloud cover with possible thunderstorms. These factors suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, while sea breezes further moderate coastal maxima relative to inland Shandong. Slight variations in the timing or extent of cloud breaks, subsidence strength, or precipitation onset create the observed market clustering around 29–32°C outcomes, as 1–3°C swings remain plausible within model spreads. Historical July climatology for Qingdao shows typical highs of 26–30°C under similar regimes, with official resolution depending on precise station measurements amid these uncertainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 14?
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
29°C 16%
NEW
$14,305 Vol.
NEW
$14,305 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
24%
31°C
34%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
29°C 16%
NEW
$14,305 Vol.
NEW
$14,305 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
26°C or below
$3,376 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,187 Vol.
1%
28°C
$969 Vol.
5%
29°C
$743 Vol.
16%
30°C
$567 Vol.
24%
31°C
$597 Vol.
34%
32°C
$874 Vol.
26%
33°C
$2,631 Vol.
6%
34°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$375 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and ensemble models indicate Qingdao's July 14 high will likely fall in the 27–30°C range, shaped by persistent southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, marine-layer moisture, and expected cloud cover with possible thunderstorms. These factors suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, while sea breezes further moderate coastal maxima relative to inland Shandong. Slight variations in the timing or extent of cloud breaks, subsidence strength, or precipitation onset create the observed market clustering around 29–32°C outcomes, as 1–3°C swings remain plausible within model spreads. Historical July climatology for Qingdao shows typical highs of 26–30°C under similar regimes, with official resolution depending on precise station measurements amid these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$14,305End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and ensemble models indicate Qingdao's July 14 high will likely fall in the 27–30°C range, shaped by persistent southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, marine-layer moisture, and expected cloud cover with possible thunderstorms. These factors suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, while sea breezes further moderate coastal maxima relative to inland Shandong. Slight variations in the timing or extent of cloud breaks, subsidence strength, or precipitation onset create the observed market clustering around 29–32°C outcomes, as 1–3°C swings remain plausible within model spreads. Historical July climatology for Qingdao shows typical highs of 26–30°C under similar regimes, with official resolution depending on precise station measurements amid these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,305End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and ensemble models indicate Qingdao's July 14 high will likely fall in the 27–30°C range, shaped by persistent southeasterly flow off the Yellow Sea, marine-layer moisture, and expected cloud cover with possible thunderstorms. These factors suppress daytime heating through reduced insolation and enhanced evaporative cooling, while sea breezes further moderate coastal maxima relative to inland Shandong. Slight variations in the timing or extent of cloud breaks, subsidence strength, or precipitation onset create the observed market clustering around 29–32°C outcomes, as 1–3°C swings remain plausible within model spreads. Historical July climatology for Qingdao shows typical highs of 26–30°C under similar regimes, with official resolution depending on precise station measurements amid these uncertainties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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