Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 9%
NEW
$18,192 Vol.
NEW
$18,192 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
72-73°F 9%
NEW
$18,192 Vol.
NEW
$18,192 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
71°F or below
$507 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$478 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$2,211 Vol.
32%
76-77°F
$3,753 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$1,525 Vol.
17%
80-81°F
$1,107 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$4,043 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$2,219 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,760 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$253 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$18,192End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,192End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F brackets for San Francisco’s July 14 high reflects uncertainty in marine-layer evolution and onshore flow strength, per National Weather Service guidance. Typical July climatology favors highs near 70°F when persistent stratus and cool Pacific air dominate, but recent model runs indicate a thinning marine layer could allow partial afternoon clearing and modest warming to the mid-70s. Key variables include wind direction shifts that either reinforce or weaken coastal cooling, plus any residual warmth from inland heat advected westward. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service show Monday–Tuesday peaks near 77°F before a cooldown, highlighting how small changes in cloud timing or breeze can shift the daily maximum across the leading brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions