Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai cluster around daily maxima of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer conditions over the Yangtze River Delta, including moderate diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow influenced by the East Asian monsoon. These factors create narrow uncertainty in peak temperatures, with cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer moisture content as the main variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 27–28°C, but early-month patterns often feature slightly cooler, more humid profiles before full summer heating establishes. Model consensus remains tight ahead of final overnight updates, supporting the closely matched market probabilities around the 24–26°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
24°C 26%
27°C 14%
$18,954 Vol.
$18,954 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
24°C 26%
27°C 14%
$18,954 Vol.
$18,954 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts for Shanghai cluster around daily maxima of 25–27°C on June 15, driven by typical early-summer conditions over the Yangtze River Delta, including moderate diurnal heating under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow influenced by the East Asian monsoon. These factors create narrow uncertainty in peak temperatures, with cloud thickness, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer moisture content as the main variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 27–28°C, but early-month patterns often feature slightly cooler, more humid profiles before full summer heating establishes. Model consensus remains tight ahead of final overnight updates, supporting the closely matched market probabilities around the 24–26°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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