Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 ปริมาณ
$174,793 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 ปริมาณ
$174,793 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
24°C or below
$336 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$531 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,384 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,053 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$5,284 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$9,197 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$21,021 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$66,154 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$33,197 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$21,812 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$12,824 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$174,793วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$174,793วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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