Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate persistent thundery showers and extensive cloud cover over Shenzhen on June 16, moderating daytime heating and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29°C. High humidity, typical of the East Asian monsoon onset, reduces the diurnal temperature range through enhanced latent heat release and reduced solar insolation, while southeasterly flow off the South China Sea adds a stabilizing marine influence. These conditions align with climatological June averages near 30–31°C but deviate lower due to the specific synoptic setup, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity captured in the latest CMA and ECMWF runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
29°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
17%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate persistent thundery showers and extensive cloud cover over Shenzhen on June 16, moderating daytime heating and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–29°C. High humidity, typical of the East Asian monsoon onset, reduces the diurnal temperature range through enhanced latent heat release and reduced solar insolation, while southeasterly flow off the South China Sea adds a stabilizing marine influence. These conditions align with climatological June averages near 30–31°C but deviate lower due to the specific synoptic setup, with resolution hinging on the timing and intensity of convective activity captured in the latest CMA and ECMWF runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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