Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan places the July 11 maximum near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the Yangtze and numerous urban lakes, and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands; clear skies under a ridge favor the upper end while scattered convection or stronger winds cap readings. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32–35 °C with occasional spikes above 38 °C, but the final 48-hour model runs and local observations will determine whether the peak settles at 36 °C, 37 °C, or 38 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 11?
37°C 36%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 7%
$25,628 Vol.
$25,628 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
15%
37°C
36%
38°C
31%
39°C
7%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 36%
38°C 31%
36°C 15%
39°C 7%
$25,628 Vol.
$25,628 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
15%
37°C
36%
38°C
31%
39°C
7%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan places the July 11 maximum near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity from the Yangtze and numerous urban lakes, and variable cloud cover create narrow uncertainty bands; clear skies under a ridge favor the upper end while scattered convection or stronger winds cap readings. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32–35 °C with occasional spikes above 38 °C, but the final 48-hour model runs and local observations will determine whether the peak settles at 36 °C, 37 °C, or 38 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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