**Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan of 26–28°C on September 21, 2026, with the tightest clustering around 26–27°C.** Cloudy to overcast conditions and a moderate northerly flow are expected to limit solar heating and daytime warming, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C. Light rain chances (20–50% in several runs) could further cap the peak if showers develop during the warmest afternoon hours. These values align closely with late-September climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 26°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of numerical weather prediction outputs and recent model trends, while recognizing that any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Official station observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends in China Standard Time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
26°C 30%
25°C 25%
27°C 24%
24°C or below 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
14%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
25°C 25%
27°C 24%
24°C or below 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
$897 Vol.
14%
25°C
$955 Vol.
25%
26°C
$303 Vol.
30%
27°C
$498 Vol.
24%
28°C
$267 Vol.
8%
29°C
$35 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan of 26–28°C on September 21, 2026, with the tightest clustering around 26–27°C.**
Cloudy to overcast conditions and a moderate northerly flow are expected to limit solar heating and daytime warming, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C. Light rain chances (20–50% in several runs) could further cap the peak if showers develop during the warmest afternoon hours. These values align closely with late-September climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 26°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of numerical weather prediction outputs and recent model trends, while recognizing that any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Official station observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends in China Standard Time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,032End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan of 26–28°C on September 21, 2026, with the tightest clustering around 26–27°C.**
Cloudy to overcast conditions and a moderate northerly flow are expected to limit solar heating and daytime warming, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C. Light rain chances (20–50% in several runs) could further cap the peak if showers develop during the warmest afternoon hours. These values align closely with late-September climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 26°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of numerical weather prediction outputs and recent model trends, while recognizing that any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Official station observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends in China Standard Time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,032End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources project a daily maximum temperature in Wuhan of 26–28°C on September 21, 2026, with the tightest clustering around 26–27°C.** Cloudy to overcast conditions and a moderate northerly flow are expected to limit solar heating and daytime warming, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C. Light rain chances (20–50% in several runs) could further cap the peak if showers develop during the warmest afternoon hours. These values align closely with late-September climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 26°C. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of numerical weather prediction outputs and recent model trends, while recognizing that any earlier clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Official station observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends in China Standard Time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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