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Politics·Idaho Primary

Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Idaho Primary

Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner

David Roth 96.2%

Nickolas Bonds 2.2%

Brad Moore 1.1%

Polymarket

$20,406 Vol.

David Roth 96.2%

Nickolas Bonds 2.2%

Brad Moore 1.1%

Polymarket

$20,406 Vol.

David Roth

$15,496 Vol.

96%

Nickolas Bonds

$2,507 Vol.

2%

Brad Moore

$2,402 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Roth holds a commanding lead in the Idaho Democratic Senate primary due to his prior statewide candidacies in 2022 and 2024, which established name recognition and a county-by-county outreach network ahead of the May 19 contest. The two challengers, Nickolas Bonds and Brad Moore, maintain minimal fundraising and public profiles in a state where Democrats face structural challenges in general elections against the Republican incumbent. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Roth aligns with these factors, including recent editorial support from major outlets highlighting his relative viability. A shift remains possible only through unusually high turnout among lesser-known candidates or last-minute endorsements that alter voter awareness in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,406
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 8:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Roth holds a commanding lead in the Idaho Democratic Senate primary due to his prior statewide candidacies in 2022 and 2024, which established name recognition and a county-by-county outreach network ahead of the May 19 contest. The two challengers, Nickolas Bonds and Brad Moore, maintain minimal fundraising and public profiles in a state where Democrats face structural challenges in general elections against the Republican incumbent. Trader consensus at 96 percent for Roth aligns with these factors, including recent editorial support from major outlets highlighting his relative viability. A shift remains possible only through unusually high turnout among lesser-known candidates or last-minute endorsements that alter voter awareness in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,406
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 8:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Roth" at 96%, followed by "Nickolas Bonds" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $20.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "David Roth" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nickolas Bonds" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Idaho Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.