Josh Turek leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability for the Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by recent polls like PPP's May 6 survey showing him at 53% over Zach Wahls's 27%, bolstered by high-profile endorsements from former Sen. Tom Harkin on May 8 and Pete Buttigieg on May 13, alongside VoteVets' heavy spending. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic gold medalist, emphasizes his record beating Republicans, appealing to voters prioritizing general election viability against likely GOP nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson in the open seat race following Joni Ernst's retirement. Wahls, state senate minority leader alum, holds 23% amid early voting underway, but trails amid Turek's fundraising and momentum surge. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJosh Turek 77%
Zach Wahls 23%
Chris Henry <1%
Nathan Sage <1%
$21,712 Vol.
$21,712 Vol.
Josh Turek
67%
Zach Wahls
23%
Chris Henry
<1%
Nathan Sage
<1%
Josh Turek 77%
Zach Wahls 23%
Chris Henry <1%
Nathan Sage <1%
$21,712 Vol.
$21,712 Vol.
Josh Turek
67%
Zach Wahls
23%
Chris Henry
<1%
Nathan Sage
<1%
If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Turek leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability for the Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 2, driven by recent polls like PPP's May 6 survey showing him at 53% over Zach Wahls's 27%, bolstered by high-profile endorsements from former Sen. Tom Harkin on May 8 and Pete Buttigieg on May 13, alongside VoteVets' heavy spending. Turek, a state representative and Paralympic gold medalist, emphasizes his record beating Republicans, appealing to voters prioritizing general election viability against likely GOP nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson in the open seat race following Joni Ernst's retirement. Wahls, state senate minority leader alum, holds 23% amid early voting underway, but trails amid Turek's fundraising and momentum surge. Upcoming debates could shift dynamics in this closely watched primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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