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Politics·Primaries

Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Terri Pickens 97.4%

Maxine Durand 1.1%

Chanelle Torrez <1%

Jill Kirkham <1%

Polymarket

$87,440 Vol.

Terri Pickens 97.4%

Maxine Durand 1.1%

Chanelle Torrez <1%

Jill Kirkham <1%

Polymarket

$87,440 Vol.

Terri Pickens

$44,978 Vol.

97%

Maxine Durand

$1,423 Vol.

1%

Chanelle Torrez

$585 Vol.

1%

Jill Kirkham

$532 Vol.

1%

Stephen Heidt

$39,921 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Terri Pickens commands 97.5% trader consensus as the Democratic nominee for Idaho governor ahead of the May 19 primary, reflecting her frontrunner status bolstered by the Idaho Statesman's recent endorsement praising her experience and platform, superior name recognition from her 2022 lieutenant governor primary run, and robust campaigning on rural healthcare access, public schools, and mental health amid expected low Democratic turnout in the deep-red state. Challengers Maxine Durand, Jill Kirkham, Chanelle Torrez, and Stephen Heidt hold slim shares due to limited visibility and fundraising. Scenarios to upend this include a late voter surge for underdogs, procedural ballot challenges, or unexpectedly high absentee turnout favoring alternatives, though structural advantages favor Pickens in this low-stakes intraparty contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$87,440
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Terri Pickens commands 97.5% trader consensus as the Democratic nominee for Idaho governor ahead of the May 19 primary, reflecting her frontrunner status bolstered by the Idaho Statesman's recent endorsement praising her experience and platform, superior name recognition from her 2022 lieutenant governor primary run, and robust campaigning on rural healthcare access, public schools, and mental health amid expected low Democratic turnout in the deep-red state. Challengers Maxine Durand, Jill Kirkham, Chanelle Torrez, and Stephen Heidt hold slim shares due to limited visibility and fundraising. Scenarios to upend this include a late voter surge for underdogs, procedural ballot challenges, or unexpectedly high absentee turnout favoring alternatives, though structural advantages favor Pickens in this low-stakes intraparty contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$87,440
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Idaho, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Idaho Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Terri Pickens" at 97%, followed by "Maxine Durand" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $87.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Terri Pickens" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Maxine Durand" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.