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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

icon for Next Prime Minister of Slovenia
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Janez Janša 91.9%

Jernej Vrtovec 1.9%

Anže Logar 1.3%

Robert Golob 1.1%

Polymarket

$2,972,715 Vol.

Janez Janša 91.9%

Jernej Vrtovec 1.9%

Anže Logar 1.3%

Robert Golob 1.1%

Polymarket

$2,972,715 Vol.

icon for Janez Janša

Janez Janša

$767,675 Vol.

92%

icon for Jernej Vrtovec

Jernej Vrtovec

$197,464 Vol.

2%

icon for Anže Logar

Anže Logar

$988,408 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert Golob

Robert Golob

$655,466 Vol.

1%

icon for Vladimir Prebilič

Vladimir Prebilič

$181,166 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luka Mesec

Luka Mesec

$10,527 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matjaž Han

Matjaž Han

$20,169 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matej Tonin

Matej Tonin

$14,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zoran Stevanović

Zoran Stevanović

$137,224 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Janez Janša as next Prime Minister of Slovenia at 91.9%, driven by advanced coalition negotiations among his Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), Demokrati, and the NSi–SLS–Fokus alliance, with Janša stating on May 12 that the agreement is 95% complete. This follows incumbent Robert Golob's April 20 admission of failure to form a left-leaning coalition after the March 22 parliamentary elections produced a hung National Assembly. President Nataša Pirc Musar skipped nominating a candidate after initial consultations, shifting momentum to the center-right bloc amid trimming of ministries for a leaner government. Scenarios that could upend this include final talks collapsing over policy sticking points, failure to secure a National Assembly confidence vote, or a surprise left-center realignment, potentially triggering new elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,972,715
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Janez Janša as next Prime Minister of Slovenia at 91.9%, driven by advanced coalition negotiations among his Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), Demokrati, and the NSi–SLS–Fokus alliance, with Janša stating on May 12 that the agreement is 95% complete. This follows incumbent Robert Golob's April 20 admission of failure to form a left-leaning coalition after the March 22 parliamentary elections produced a hung National Assembly. President Nataša Pirc Musar skipped nominating a candidate after initial consultations, shifting momentum to the center-right bloc amid trimming of ministries for a leaner government. Scenarios that could upend this include final talks collapsing over policy sticking points, failure to secure a National Assembly confidence vote, or a surprise left-center realignment, potentially triggering new elections.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,972,715
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janez Janša" at 92%, followed by "Jernej Vrtovec" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is "Janez Janša" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jernej Vrtovec" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.