Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and rainfall over Chongqing on October 3, moderating overnight radiative cooling and holding the daily minimum near 18–21°C. This aligns with the transitional autumn pattern where frequent precipitation from lingering moisture and weak frontal activity prevents both sharp drops below 15°C and warmer readings above 25°C. Trader odds near 50% for the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher brackets reflect model spread in exact steering flow and timing of any clearing, with historical October lows averaging 16–18°C providing context. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine the minimum ahead of resolution.