Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on June 18 under building high pressure that favors light winds and limited radiative cooling, though ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects keep 17°C and 16°C closely matched in trader pricing. Mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages 12–13°C, so current mild advection from the south and partly cloudy skies are elevating expected lows several degrees above normal. Model consensus shows little risk of stronger cooling from clearer skies or northerly flow, narrowing realistic outcomes to the 16–18°C band while leaving room for small revisions from the final 00Z–12Z runs ahead of the 18th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on June 18?
Lowest temperature in London on June 18?
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
15°C 4.5%
18°C 4.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
39%
17°C
45%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
15°C 4.5%
18°C 4.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$405 KL.
<1%
13°C
$684 KL.
<1%
14°C
$73 KL.
<1%
15°C
$15 KL.
4%
16°C
$195 KL.
39%
17°C
$54 KL.
45%
18°C
$112 KL.
4%
19°C
$41 KL.
1%
20°C
$65 KL.
1%
21°C
$505 KL.
1%
22°C or higher
$200 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on June 18 under building high pressure that favors light winds and limited radiative cooling, though ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects keep 17°C and 16°C closely matched in trader pricing. Mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages 12–13°C, so current mild advection from the south and partly cloudy skies are elevating expected lows several degrees above normal. Model consensus shows little risk of stronger cooling from clearer skies or northerly flow, narrowing realistic outcomes to the 16–18°C band while leaving room for small revisions from the final 00Z–12Z runs ahead of the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,349Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on June 18 under building high pressure that favors light winds and limited radiative cooling, though ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects keep 17°C and 16°C closely matched in trader pricing. Mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages 12–13°C, so current mild advection from the south and partly cloudy skies are elevating expected lows several degrees above normal. Model consensus shows little risk of stronger cooling from clearer skies or northerly flow, narrowing realistic outcomes to the 16–18°C band while leaving room for small revisions from the final 00Z–12Z runs ahead of the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,349Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to an overnight minimum near 18°C in London on June 18 under building high pressure that favors light winds and limited radiative cooling, though ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects keep 17°C and 16°C closely matched in trader pricing. Mid-June climatology at Heathrow averages 12–13°C, so current mild advection from the south and partly cloudy skies are elevating expected lows several degrees above normal. Model consensus shows little risk of stronger cooling from clearer skies or northerly flow, narrowing realistic outcomes to the 16–18°C band while leaving room for small revisions from the final 00Z–12Z runs ahead of the 18th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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