Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 25–26°C. With no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage expected, temperatures are unlikely to drop below 16°C or exceed 18°C overnight. Market-implied odds remain closely split between broad extremes and mid-range buckets because traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria for the daily minimum, while stable synoptic conditions limit upside for sharp deviations from the 16–18°C envelope. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS could refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 19?
21°C or higher 82%
11°C or below 80%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
80%
12°C
16%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
37%
19°C
16%
20°C
18%
21°C or higher
82%
21°C or higher 82%
11°C or below 80%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
80%
12°C
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
37%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 25–26°C. With no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage expected, temperatures are unlikely to drop below 16°C or exceed 18°C overnight. Market-implied odds remain closely split between broad extremes and mid-range buckets because traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria for the daily minimum, while stable synoptic conditions limit upside for sharp deviations from the 16–18°C envelope. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 25–26°C. With no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage expected, temperatures are unlikely to drop below 16°C or exceed 18°C overnight. Market-implied odds remain closely split between broad extremes and mid-range buckets because traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria for the daily minimum, while stable synoptic conditions limit upside for sharp deviations from the 16–18°C envelope. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Milan on September 19, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 25–26°C. With no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage expected, temperatures are unlikely to drop below 16°C or exceed 18°C overnight. Market-implied odds remain closely split between broad extremes and mid-range buckets because traders weigh model spread and resolution criteria for the daily minimum, while stable synoptic conditions limit upside for sharp deviations from the 16–18°C envelope. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS could refine the exact low before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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