**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a mild overnight period for June 18 in New York City, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 68–72°F.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover and urban heat retention, supports these readings above seasonal normals for mid-June. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though small differences in the timing of any clearing or shower activity could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups suggest overnight lows rarely dip below 66°F under these conditions. With resolution hinging on the official NWS Central Park observation, traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution model runs that favor the narrow 68–71°F window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on June 18?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 18?
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
59°F or below
$5 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$342 KL.
1%
62-63°F
$16 KL.
5%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
11%
66-67°F
$11 KL.
14%
68-69°F
$14 KL.
20%
70-71°F
$38 KL.
22%
72-73°F
$35 KL.
17%
74-75°F
$23 KL.
2%
76-77°F
$330 KL.
1%
78°F or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a mild overnight period for June 18 in New York City, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 68–72°F.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover and urban heat retention, supports these readings above seasonal normals for mid-June. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though small differences in the timing of any clearing or shower activity could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups suggest overnight lows rarely dip below 66°F under these conditions. With resolution hinging on the official NWS Central Park observation, traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution model runs that favor the narrow 68–71°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$815Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a mild overnight period for June 18 in New York City, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 68–72°F.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover and urban heat retention, supports these readings above seasonal normals for mid-June. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though small differences in the timing of any clearing or shower activity could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups suggest overnight lows rarely dip below 66°F under these conditions. With resolution hinging on the official NWS Central Park observation, traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution model runs that favor the narrow 68–71°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$815Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers indicate a mild overnight period for June 18 in New York City, with the minimum temperature most likely falling between 68–72°F.** Southerly flow ahead of an approaching weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover and urban heat retention, supports these readings above seasonal normals for mid-June. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though small differences in the timing of any clearing or shower activity could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups suggest overnight lows rarely dip below 66°F under these conditions. With resolution hinging on the official NWS Central Park observation, traders are weighting the most recent high-resolution model runs that favor the narrow 68–71°F window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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