Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on September 20 will likely reach around 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the sea, keeping minimums well above historical September averages near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% odds on 28°C or higher versus 40% on 18°C or below highlights ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential for minor revisions, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations rather than any single forecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
28°C or higher 100%
18°C or below 79%
23°C 50%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
79%
19°C
19%
20°C
21%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
35%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
13%
27°C
12%
28°C or higher
100%
28°C or higher 100%
18°C or below 79%
23°C 50%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
79%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$112 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$20 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on September 20 will likely reach around 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the sea, keeping minimums well above historical September averages near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% odds on 28°C or higher versus 40% on 18°C or below highlights ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential for minor revisions, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations rather than any single forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$132End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on September 20 will likely reach around 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the sea, keeping minimums well above historical September averages near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% odds on 28°C or higher versus 40% on 18°C or below highlights ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential for minor revisions, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations rather than any single forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on September 20 will likely reach around 23–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the sea, keeping minimums well above historical September averages near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% odds on 28°C or higher versus 40% on 18°C or below highlights ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs and potential for minor revisions, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations rather than any single forecast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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