**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered showers from the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight lows in Panama City, Panama, tightly clustered around 25-26°C on September 21.** These conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points remaining elevated and light variable winds providing minimal mixing. Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight temperatures bottoming out near 24-25°C in some runs versus 25-26°C in others, depending on the timing and extent of any partial clearing. Historical September minima average about 24°C, but the current moist, cloudy pattern supports the market's near-even split between 25°C and 26°C as the most probable outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will clarify the final minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
24°C 20%
22°C 7.0%
23°C 7%
21°C <1%
$1,230 Vol.
$1,230 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C
20%
25°C
49%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 20%
22°C 7.0%
23°C 7%
21°C <1%
$1,230 Vol.
$1,230 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$565 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$416 Vol.
1%
22°C
$31 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$16 Vol.
20%
25°C
$26 Vol.
49%
26°C
$94 Vol.
-
27°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered showers from the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight lows in Panama City, Panama, tightly clustered around 25-26°C on September 21.**
These conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points remaining elevated and light variable winds providing minimal mixing. Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight temperatures bottoming out near 24-25°C in some runs versus 25-26°C in others, depending on the timing and extent of any partial clearing. Historical September minima average about 24°C, but the current moist, cloudy pattern supports the market's near-even split between 25°C and 26°C as the most probable outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will clarify the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,230End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered showers from the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight lows in Panama City, Panama, tightly clustered around 25-26°C on September 21.**
These conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points remaining elevated and light variable winds providing minimal mixing. Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight temperatures bottoming out near 24-25°C in some runs versus 25-26°C in others, depending on the timing and extent of any partial clearing. Historical September minima average about 24°C, but the current moist, cloudy pattern supports the market's near-even split between 25°C and 26°C as the most probable outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will clarify the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,230End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered showers from the ongoing rainy season are keeping overnight lows in Panama City, Panama, tightly clustered around 25-26°C on September 21.** These conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points remaining elevated and light variable winds providing minimal mixing. Official forecasts and model guidance show overnight temperatures bottoming out near 24-25°C in some runs versus 25-26°C in others, depending on the timing and extent of any partial clearing. Historical September minima average about 24°C, but the current moist, cloudy pattern supports the market's near-even split between 25°C and 26°C as the most probable outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will clarify the final minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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