Labor leads recent statewide polling for the Legislative Council with primary votes around 30-31 percent ahead of the Liberal–National Coalition at 20-25 percent and One Nation at 23-27 percent, while the Greens sit near 13-14 percent. The March 13, 2027, election will fill 21 of 42 seats through optional preferential proportional representation, with Labor defending seven seats and the Coalition several more. Strong One Nation support fragments the non-Labor vote, narrowing Labor’s projected seat advantage under the quota system and keeping the contest for the largest bloc tight. Minor parties including the Greens, Animal Justice, and Shooters, Fishers and Farmers retain niche support that could influence final distributions. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with limited recent catalysts to shift the balance before nominations close in February 2027.