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icon for North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner
Politics·North Carolina Midterm

North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner

icon for North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner
Politics·North Carolina Midterm

North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Anita Earls (D)

Anita Earls (D)

$995 Vol.

79%

icon for Sarah Stevens (R)

Sarah Stevens (R)

$118 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Justice Anita Earls holds a strong edge in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, North Carolina Supreme Court Seat 1 race, driven by her substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $4 million compared to Republican challenger Sarah Stevens’ roughly $336,000. Stevens resigned her state House seat in June 2026 to campaign full time, yet recent August polling shows Earls ahead by narrow margins of 3–6 points among likely voters, with sizable undecided shares. The contest centers on preserving the court’s current 5-2 Republican majority, and Earls’ incumbency combined with broader donor support has positioned her as the frontrunner in prediction market pricing ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,114
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Justice Anita Earls holds a strong edge in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, North Carolina Supreme Court Seat 1 race, driven by her substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $4 million compared to Republican challenger Sarah Stevens’ roughly $336,000. Stevens resigned her state House seat in June 2026 to campaign full time, yet recent August polling shows Earls ahead by narrow margins of 3–6 points among likely voters, with sizable undecided shares. The contest centers on preserving the court’s current 5-2 Republican majority, and Earls’ incumbency combined with broader donor support has positioned her as the frontrunner in prediction market pricing ahead of the general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 North Carolina Supreme Court election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,114
End Date
Nov 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anita Earls (D)" at 79%, followed by "Sarah Stevens (R)" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner" is "Anita Earls (D)" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sarah Stevens (R)" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.