**In Ohio's 4th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat with an R+18 Partisan Voter Index, incumbent Jim Jordan faces Democrat Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tracey Tackett in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Jordan secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the May 5 primary after winning 68.5% in 2024, while Kolasinski advanced similarly on the Democratic side. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Safe or Solid Republican. With no major developments or national shifts in the past 30 days, trader prices spread across Republican margins in the 25-45% range reflect the district's consistent lean and limited opposition fundraising, while the sub-1% probability on a Democratic win aligns with the seat's structural fundamentals and historical results.