OpenAI's rapid iteration on its GPT-5 series continues to drive gains on FrontierMath, a benchmark of unpublished, research-level mathematics problems developed by Epoch AI. The latest GPT-5.5 Pro variant reached 52.4 percent as of mid-May 2026, up from GPT-5.4's record-setting performance in March, reflecting stronger chain-of-thought reasoning and tool use on Tier 1–4 problems. Monthly model refreshes have become the norm, compressing improvement cycles and tightening the competitive gap with leaders such as Claude Opus 4.6 and Gemini 3.1 Pro. Traders are watching for any new GPT release or internal capability jump before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this saturated frontier benchmark could shift outcomes given the market's focus on verifiable progress in advanced mathematical reasoning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$35,531 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
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$35,531 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's rapid iteration on its GPT-5 series continues to drive gains on FrontierMath, a benchmark of unpublished, research-level mathematics problems developed by Epoch AI. The latest GPT-5.5 Pro variant reached 52.4 percent as of mid-May 2026, up from GPT-5.4's record-setting performance in March, reflecting stronger chain-of-thought reasoning and tool use on Tier 1–4 problems. Monthly model refreshes have become the norm, compressing improvement cycles and tightening the competitive gap with leaders such as Claude Opus 4.6 and Gemini 3.1 Pro. Traders are watching for any new GPT release or internal capability jump before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this saturated frontier benchmark could shift outcomes given the market's focus on verifiable progress in advanced mathematical reasoning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$35,531End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's rapid iteration on its GPT-5 series continues to drive gains on FrontierMath, a benchmark of unpublished, research-level mathematics problems developed by Epoch AI. The latest GPT-5.5 Pro variant reached 52.4 percent as of mid-May 2026, up from GPT-5.4's record-setting performance in March, reflecting stronger chain-of-thought reasoning and tool use on Tier 1–4 problems. Monthly model refreshes have become the norm, compressing improvement cycles and tightening the competitive gap with leaders such as Claude Opus 4.6 and Gemini 3.1 Pro. Traders are watching for any new GPT release or internal capability jump before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this saturated frontier benchmark could shift outcomes given the market's focus on verifiable progress in advanced mathematical reasoning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,531End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's rapid iteration on its GPT-5 series continues to drive gains on FrontierMath, a benchmark of unpublished, research-level mathematics problems developed by Epoch AI. The latest GPT-5.5 Pro variant reached 52.4 percent as of mid-May 2026, up from GPT-5.4's record-setting performance in March, reflecting stronger chain-of-thought reasoning and tool use on Tier 1–4 problems. Monthly model refreshes have become the norm, compressing improvement cycles and tightening the competitive gap with leaders such as Claude Opus 4.6 and Gemini 3.1 Pro. Traders are watching for any new GPT release or internal capability jump before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this saturated frontier benchmark could shift outcomes given the market's focus on verifiable progress in advanced mathematical reasoning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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