Recent OpenAI model releases have driven strong gains on FrontierMath, with GPT-5.5 Pro reaching 52.4% overall and GPT-5.4 Pro scoring 47.6% on the leaderboard of unpublished research-level math problems across escalating tiers. These advances stem from targeted scaling in reasoning and chain-of-thought capabilities, outpacing earlier GPT-5 variants. However, Google DeepMind's recent multi-agent system built on Gemini 3.1 Pro has hit 48% on the hardest Tier 4 subset, intensifying competition. Traders are watching for any GPT-5.6 preview or inference optimizations before the June 30 cutoff, as further gains depend on whether OpenAI sustains its monthly release cadence amid the benchmark's extreme difficulty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$35,531 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
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$35,531 Vol.
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$25,783 Vol.
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$9,748 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent OpenAI model releases have driven strong gains on FrontierMath, with GPT-5.5 Pro reaching 52.4% overall and GPT-5.4 Pro scoring 47.6% on the leaderboard of unpublished research-level math problems across escalating tiers. These advances stem from targeted scaling in reasoning and chain-of-thought capabilities, outpacing earlier GPT-5 variants. However, Google DeepMind's recent multi-agent system built on Gemini 3.1 Pro has hit 48% on the hardest Tier 4 subset, intensifying competition. Traders are watching for any GPT-5.6 preview or inference optimizations before the June 30 cutoff, as further gains depend on whether OpenAI sustains its monthly release cadence amid the benchmark's extreme difficulty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$35,531End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent OpenAI model releases have driven strong gains on FrontierMath, with GPT-5.5 Pro reaching 52.4% overall and GPT-5.4 Pro scoring 47.6% on the leaderboard of unpublished research-level math problems across escalating tiers. These advances stem from targeted scaling in reasoning and chain-of-thought capabilities, outpacing earlier GPT-5 variants. However, Google DeepMind's recent multi-agent system built on Gemini 3.1 Pro has hit 48% on the hardest Tier 4 subset, intensifying competition. Traders are watching for any GPT-5.6 preview or inference optimizations before the June 30 cutoff, as further gains depend on whether OpenAI sustains its monthly release cadence amid the benchmark's extreme difficulty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,531End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent OpenAI model releases have driven strong gains on FrontierMath, with GPT-5.5 Pro reaching 52.4% overall and GPT-5.4 Pro scoring 47.6% on the leaderboard of unpublished research-level math problems across escalating tiers. These advances stem from targeted scaling in reasoning and chain-of-thought capabilities, outpacing earlier GPT-5 variants. However, Google DeepMind's recent multi-agent system built on Gemini 3.1 Pro has hit 48% on the hardest Tier 4 subset, intensifying competition. Traders are watching for any GPT-5.6 preview or inference optimizations before the June 30 cutoff, as further gains depend on whether OpenAI sustains its monthly release cadence amid the benchmark's extreme difficulty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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