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icon for 2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)

2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)

icon for 2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)

2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)

Фухимори 0,2–0,3% 98.6%

Фухимори 0,1–0,2% <1%

Санчес 0–0,1% <1%

Другой <1%

Polymarket

$2,851,960 Объем

Фухимори 0,2–0,3% 98.6%

Фухимори 0,1–0,2% <1%

Санчес 0–0,1% <1%

Другой <1%

Polymarket

$2,851,960 Объем

Фухимори 1%+

$97,539 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,9–1,0%

$49,553 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,8–0,9%

$45,052 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,7–0,8%

$43,869 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,6–0,7%

$53,044 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,5–0,6%

$115,630 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,4–0,5%

$316,633 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,3–0,4%

$471,904 Объем

<1%

Фухимори 0,2–0,3%

$246,240 Объем

99%

Фухимори 0,1–0,2%

$437,522 Объем

1%

Фухимори 0–0,1%

$327,442 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0–0,1%

$196,770 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,1–0,2%

$148,904 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,2–0,3%

$61,291 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,3–0,4%

$37,198 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,4–0,5%

$35,190 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,5–0,6%

$29,111 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,6–0,7%

$23,147 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,7–0,8%

$16,486 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,8–0,9%

$9,707 Объем

<1%

Санчес 0,9–1,0%

$8,728 Объем

<1%

Санчес 1%+

$9,873 Объем

<1%

Другой

$71,128 Объем

<1%

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$2,851,960
Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a slim projected lead of roughly 36,000 votes (about 0.2 percentage points) over Roberto Sánchez in Peru’s June 7 runoff, with 99%+ of ballots tallied and the remaining contested votes concentrated in her Lima stronghold. Overseas ballots strongly favored Fujimori, while Sánchez performed better in rural southern regions. Election authorities continue reviewing a small share of ballots under a mid-July deadline, and trader consensus reflects the expectation that these final tallies will preserve or modestly widen her margin without triggering successful appeals or recounts. Late shifts remain possible if institutional reviews or legal challenges alter outcomes in key urban precincts.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$2,851,960
Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 23 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Фухимори 0,2–0,3%» с 99%, за ним следует «Фухимори 0,1–0,2%» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $2.9 million с момента запуска рынка Jun 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)», просмотри 23 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)» — «Фухимори 0,2–0,3%» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Фухимори 0,1–0,2%» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.