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Elections·President

Presidential Election Winner 2028

icon for Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·President

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 20.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.4%

Jon Ossoff 11.6%

Marco Rubio 7.5%

Polymarket

$708,164,766 Vol.

JD Vance 20.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.4%

Jon Ossoff 11.6%

Marco Rubio 7.5%

Polymarket

$708,164,766 Vol.

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$16,442,672 Vol.

21%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$13,669,895 Vol.

13%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$5,693,574 Vol.

12%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$12,569,134 Vol.

8%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$18,415,054 Vol.

7%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$9,042,453 Vol.

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$7,565,681 Vol.

3%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$8,273,929 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$12,625,364 Vol.

2%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$702,442 Vol.

2%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,401,745 Vol.

2%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$14,264,127 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$10,569,619 Vol.

1%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$19,213,165 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$8,400,548 Vol.

1%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$10,906,653 Vol.

1%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$12,669,285 Vol.

1%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$7,243,496 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,241,597 Vol.

1%

icon for JB Pritzker

JB Pritzker

$13,005,819 Vol.

<1%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$13,810,054 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jamie Dimon

Jamie Dimon

$10,983,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$15,599,010 Vol.

<1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$35,385,350 Vol.

<1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$28,199,335 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$35,377,204 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$27,141,991 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$19,272,460 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$504,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$1,519,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$691,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen Smith

Stephen Smith

$33,476,119 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$30,119,040 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$44,725,535 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$37,951,399 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$54,780,479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$40,270,669 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$22,202,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$18,827,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$10,340,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

$2,710,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$789,523 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$266,722 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$933,052 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$1,023,067 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$835,611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$519,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$379,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$363,010 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$386,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$374,917 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$489,864 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.JD Vance holds the highest implied probability in the 2028 presidential winner market as sitting vice president and early Republican frontrunner, though his share remains below 25 percent amid a fragmented GOP field that includes Marco Rubio. On the Democratic side, a wide-open primary featuring Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and others produces similarly dispersed odds, reflecting the absence of declared candidates and limited early polling clarity ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Traders price Democrats collectively ahead overall, consistent with generic ballot trends and President Trump’s approval ratings. The tight distribution at the top stems from the long timeline to November 2028, potential shifts in party coalitions, and uncertainty over endorsements or primary performance that could consolidate support. Midterm outcomes, post-election candidate announcements, and evolving primary surveys represent the clearest near-term catalysts for separation in the market.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$708,164,766
End Date
Jan 21, 2029
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.JD Vance holds the highest implied probability in the 2028 presidential winner market as sitting vice president and early Republican frontrunner, though his share remains below 25 percent amid a fragmented GOP field that includes Marco Rubio. On the Democratic side, a wide-open primary featuring Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and others produces similarly dispersed odds, reflecting the absence of declared candidates and limited early polling clarity ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Traders price Democrats collectively ahead overall, consistent with generic ballot trends and President Trump’s approval ratings. The tight distribution at the top stems from the long timeline to November 2028, potential shifts in party coalitions, and uncertainty over endorsements or primary performance that could consolidate support. Midterm outcomes, post-election candidate announcements, and evolving primary surveys represent the clearest near-term catalysts for separation in the market.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$708,164,766
End Date
Jan 21, 2029
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Presidential Election Winner 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 21%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Presidential Election Winner 2028" has generated $708.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" is "JD Vance" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.