The soft $21 million domestic opening for Warner Bros.’ “The End of Oak Street,” a mid-budget dinosaur creature feature from David Robert Mitchell, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$9 million second weekend. Positive reviews (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “B” CinemaScore have not translated into breakout word-of-mouth, while competition from holdover blockbusters continues to limit premium screens and family audiences. Historical patterns show similar genre titles with soft debuts often drop 55-65% in frame two, especially when marketing failed to build broad awareness ahead of release. An upset above $9 million would require unusually strong audience retention or a sudden surge in walk-up business that has yet to materialize in daily tracking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<9m 96%
9-10m 2.9%
10-11m 1.9%
11-12m <1%
<9m
96%
9-10m
3%
10-11m
2%
11-12m
1%
12m+
<1%
<9m 96%
9-10m 2.9%
10-11m 1.9%
11-12m <1%
<9m
96%
9-10m
3%
10-11m
2%
11-12m
1%
12m+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The soft $21 million domestic opening for Warner Bros.’ “The End of Oak Street,” a mid-budget dinosaur creature feature from David Robert Mitchell, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$9 million second weekend. Positive reviews (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “B” CinemaScore have not translated into breakout word-of-mouth, while competition from holdover blockbusters continues to limit premium screens and family audiences. Historical patterns show similar genre titles with soft debuts often drop 55-65% in frame two, especially when marketing failed to build broad awareness ahead of release. An upset above $9 million would require unusually strong audience retention or a sudden surge in walk-up business that has yet to materialize in daily tracking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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