Recent developments show a fragile US-Iran ceasefire in place since April 2026 amid the broader conflict, punctuated by limited US strikes on Iranian targets in early June and Iranian responses targeting Gulf locations. Negotiators reached a tentative May memorandum of understanding to extend the truce for 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease some sanctions, and launch nuclear talks, but it awaits final approval from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Iran continues to press for upfront concessions including asset releases and guarantees against future US withdrawal, while the US emphasizes limits on Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missiles. Ongoing mediation through Pakistan and periodic draft exchanges have yet to produce a signed permanent agreement, with trader focus centered on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these hurdles and sporadic hostilities before key resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-06-16
6月15日
19%
6月22日
35%
6月30日
65%
7月31日
65%
$140 交易量
6月15日
$7 交易量
19%
6月22日
$127 交易量
35%
6月30日
$0 交易量
65%
7月31日
$6 交易量
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments show a fragile US-Iran ceasefire in place since April 2026 amid the broader conflict, punctuated by limited US strikes on Iranian targets in early June and Iranian responses targeting Gulf locations. Negotiators reached a tentative May memorandum of understanding to extend the truce for 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease some sanctions, and launch nuclear talks, but it awaits final approval from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Iran continues to press for upfront concessions including asset releases and guarantees against future US withdrawal, while the US emphasizes limits on Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missiles. Ongoing mediation through Pakistan and periodic draft exchanges have yet to produce a signed permanent agreement, with trader focus centered on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these hurdles and sporadic hostilities before key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$140結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments show a fragile US-Iran ceasefire in place since April 2026 amid the broader conflict, punctuated by limited US strikes on Iranian targets in early June and Iranian responses targeting Gulf locations. Negotiators reached a tentative May memorandum of understanding to extend the truce for 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease some sanctions, and launch nuclear talks, but it awaits final approval from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Iran continues to press for upfront concessions including asset releases and guarantees against future US withdrawal, while the US emphasizes limits on Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missiles. Ongoing mediation through Pakistan and periodic draft exchanges have yet to produce a signed permanent agreement, with trader focus centered on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these hurdles and sporadic hostilities before key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$140結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments show a fragile US-Iran ceasefire in place since April 2026 amid the broader conflict, punctuated by limited US strikes on Iranian targets in early June and Iranian responses targeting Gulf locations. Negotiators reached a tentative May memorandum of understanding to extend the truce for 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease some sanctions, and launch nuclear talks, but it awaits final approval from President Trump and Iranian leadership. Iran continues to press for upfront concessions including asset releases and guarantees against future US withdrawal, while the US emphasizes limits on Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missiles. Ongoing mediation through Pakistan and periodic draft exchanges have yet to produce a signed permanent agreement, with trader focus centered on whether diplomatic momentum can overcome these hurdles and sporadic hostilities before key resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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